The. Gold Derby editors and Experts Christopher RosenandJoyce Eng are here to discuss the new date for the 75th Primetime Emmy Awards, the start of Phase 2 voting and more. Her co-star James Hong may have also helped bring it home for her during his rousing SAG speech (and quite possibly Jamie Lee Curtis). Here are my 2023 Oscar predictions in Supporting Actress for September 2022. In this new era of preferential ballots, international and younger Academy members have exercised a spread the love mentality, resisting the urge to go down the line for a movie in every category its nominated. Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All at Once) This week, Matthew Stewart pulled out his stopwatch and reported that Davis is "only" in 33 percent of "The Woman King" as compared to the 40 percent for Thuso Mbedu which is definitely. In 2021 Youn Yuh-jung, who is renowned in her native South Korea, won at age 73 for her first English film, Minari. And in 2020, the academy honored past nominee Laura Dern who finally took home an Oscar for her scene-stealing performance in Marriage Story.(Scroll down for the most up-to-date 2023 Oscars Best Supporting Actress predictions.). Still, as unpredictable as the Academy can be, there's an equally compelling case to bet on this season simply being a Blanchett steamroll, and report card statistics are in her favor, especially since she repeated (again) at the BAFTAs. 2023 Oscars: What to know about supporting actress nominees Green - moves up Red - moves down Blue - new entry 1. Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All at Once) And even though well still have to reckon with their likely last-place placements when it comes to best pictures preferential ballot, in all other races were increasingly comfortable saying that the acolytes are enough to carry the film through. Your customizable and curated collection of the best in trusted news plus coverage of sports, entertainment, money, weather, travel, health and lifestyle, combined with Outlook/Hotmail, Facebook . ABBOTT ELEMENTARY - "Development Day" ABC. All rights reserved. 2023 Oscars: What to know about supporting actress nominees, Father of NFL cornerback Caleb Farley killed in apparent explosion at North Carolina home, Ex-New York police chief who once led Gilgo Beach probe arrested on sexual misconduct charges, Maracana Stadium to close for field recovery, hosts Copa Libertadores final in November. 1. Final Oscars Predictions: Best Supporting Actress Ariana DeBose Will Insiders Sound Off, Ariana Madix to Release New Cocktail Book Single AF Cocktails: Drinks for Bad B-tches, L.A. Galaxy Match, Dodgers Game and More Postponed as Hurricane Hilary Approaches Southern California, Ron Cephas Jones, Emmy-Winning This Is Us Actor, Dies at 66, Artists Behind 'The White Lotus,' 'The Last of Us' Opening Credits Reveal Hidden Easter Eggs. 2024 Oscars: Best Costume Design Predictions. 2023 Oscars: Best Supporting Actress Predictions. The Next Bachelor Is Eligible for a Senior Discount. Nominees are listed below in order of likelihood they will win. Best Actress might be a very close two-person race but Supporting Actress is where the action is with three contenders are realistically vying for a win this year and where four nominees are here for the first time. Williams doesnt have another major film in the running (no offense to Showing Up) and shes the main female performer in The Fabelmans, so I think voters will accept her placement, so to speak. The star sits down with EW for a deep dive on his blockbuster Netflix franchise, those "overdramatized" retirement reports, the upcomingFuriosa, his hopes to "reinvent" Thor, and more. 2023 Oscars Best Actress predictions: Margot Robbie, Viola Davis Shell be the first Asian to win lead actress at the Oscars, and the second woman of color after Halle Berry for Monsters Ball (2001). 2023 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTRESS (November) 2023 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTRESS (May) - AwardsWatch Its been 29 years since Angela Bassetts last Oscar nomination, for playing Tina Turner in Whats Love Got to Do With It, and though her nomination for Black Panther: Wakanda Forever was widely expected, it still had a profound effect on her. That movie drops at the New York Film Festival next and I know A24 is high on its overall awards chances (Jeremy Pope in Best Actor is a sharp play as well). 2024 Oscars best actress predictions include Annette Bening, Greta Lee, Margot Robbie, Natalie Portman, Carey Mulligan and Fantasia Barrino. Netflix wants more interactive fiction, OK? The 2023 Emmys race for Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series is a tight one between 'Abbott Elementary' and 'The Bear.' . Bassett is nominated for an Oscar for best supporting actress for her role in Black Panther: Wakanda Forever. (AP Photo/Chris Pizzello), Hong Chau poses for a portrait at the 95th Academy Awards Nominees Luncheon at the Beverly Hilton Hotel in Beverly Hills, Calif., on Feb. 13, 2023. Nominations voting is from January 11-16, 2024, with official Oscar nominations announced on January 23, 2024. Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window), Click to share on Pinterest (Opens in new window), 50th Telluride Film Festival Preview and Predictions, TIFF48: Andy Lau, Carolina Markowicz and ukasz al to Receive TIFF Tribute Honors, Toronto International Film Festival (TIFF), NYFF61 Revivals Sections Announced: Household Saints, The Woman on the Beach, Man Ray and more, Interview: Emmy Nominated Composer John Powell on Finding the Right Note of Hope in STILL: A Michael J. 2022 category winner: Ariana DeBose, "West Side Story" (20th Century Studios). Ariana Grande is reportedly exiting from her longtime manager Scooter Braun. But consider this: Everything Everywhere seems poised to win a buttload of trophies on Sunday, and Hsu is in many ways the heart of the film. This password will be used to sign into all, a Vulture senior writer covering movies and pop culture, Photo: Michael Buckner/Variety via Getty Images, Photo: Stuart Wilson/Getty Images for BAFTA. By Marcus Jones, Anne Thompson March 10, 2023 5:30 pm. I have Foy in first at the moment because she was in second behind Williams, so I merely moved her up a spot. Cindy White. years ago when we surveyed what appeared to be a very competitive best supporting actress race and asked, a cartoon light bulb turning on over our heads, Does [Tilda] Swinton have this one almost by default? As Ed suggested earlier this week while surveying the similarly competitive best actor race, were having a lot of dj vu this year as the acting races, almost to a one, get less settled in the home stretch, not more. Coming off a historic first Best Picture Oscar win for a streaming platform with Coda, Apple TV+ is surely eager for another win.While the studio's 2022 releases Cha Cha Real Smooth, Raymond . Im reminded of another regal figure: Regina King, who didnt even get nominated at SAG or BAFTA for If Beale Street Could Talk but went on to win the Oscar anyway. The movie is so special because we could not have possibly expected this to have happened and so we were really able to just throw paint at the wall, Hsu told The AP. All Rights Reserved. Gold Derby is a part of Penske Media Corporation. We both still have Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery in for Best Picture the original likely wouldve made the lineup had it been a hard 10 and the tea on Janelle Monaes performance has been positive since before its TIFF premiere, so I would not rule her out. 2024 Oscars Best Actress Predictions - Variety 2023 Oscars: Best Supporting Actress Predictions - IndieWire And dont let pundits fool you into thinking if Curtis wins, that automatically means her co-star Michelle Yeoh is taking home the lead actress statue. Laura Dern - The Son (Sony Pictures Classics) 4. His Feb. 26 SAG victory proved he still has considerable might among his peers who represent the Academy's largest and most influential branch. Oscar Predictions 2023: Who Will Win This Year | Festivals & Awards Sure, Ke Huy Quan is the overwhelming favorite to win Supporting Actor, but in the lead races weve got a pair of genuine toss-ups in Cate Blanchett versus Michelle Yeoh and Austin Butler versus Brendan Fraser. Click the photo above to watch the video. Best Supporting Actress is open range now, and much like the male categories, Im not hardcore sold on anyone. Fall is in the air here in New York and in the awards campaign industrial complex. Your email address will not be published. You mentioned this up top, but Oscar voters could defy Williams lead campaign and nominate her in supporting the Reverse Kate Winslet or the Lakeith Stanfield Plot Twist do you see that happening? While the Best Supporting Actress Oscar is often awarded to an ingenue, like the 2022 winner Ariana DeBose (West Side Story), it can also be a way to reward a more seasoned performer. More than half the worlds population sees AP journalism every day. A West Texas single mother wins the lottery and squanders it just as fast, leaving behind a world of heartbreak. With Oscar voting underway, which of them will wind up with a trophy? Variety and the Flying V logos are trademarks of Variety Media, LLC. First, it adds yet another powerhouse actress to an already stacked Best Actress lineup: Ive put Williams in there alongside Cate Blanchett, Michelle Yeoh, Viola Davisand Jennifer Lawrence leaving Olivia Colman, Danielle Deadwyler, Margot Robbie and Naomi Ackie on the outside for now. The prediction pages are Davis assessment of the current standings of the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any film or performance. Travis Scott ('Utopia') stays atop Billboard 200 for 3rd week thanks to vinyl sales, Bradley Cooper ('Maestro') could match Emma Thompson's Oscars record with wins for acting and writing, How 'The Afterparty' could boost Paul Walter Hauser's Emmy chances for 'Black Bird'. According to our odds, the race now belongs to Jessie Buckley for Women Talking, but as weve discussed, I dont even have her getting nominated instead, I think Claire Foy from Women Talking could end up the winner here. Years later, with her charm running out and nowhere to go, she fights to rebuild her life and find redemption. Yesterday, a day after the Michelle news broke, Smart posted her Babylon character poster released last week on Instagram. Weisz was the de facto leading lady in her winning film as were other such recent Best Supporting Actress champs as Viola Davis (Fences, 2017); Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl, 2016) and Patricia Arquette (Boyhood, 2015). Jessie Buckley - Women Talking (MGM/UAR) 5. Dont miss the fun. Angela Bassett, Kerry Condon and Jamie Lee Curtis are all well-positioned for Oscar nominations in supporting actress, having secured BAFTA, Critics Choice, Golden Globe and Screen Actors Guild nominations, where Bassett has already triumphed in half of them: CCA and GG. 2023 Oscar Predictions: Best Actress and Best Supporting Actress 2024 Oscars: Best Film Editing . She may not represent the most-liked film in the category, as Swinton did, but shes the only nominee who has an award from a major critics group under her belt (from the National Society of Film Critics). Directors Dan Kwan and Daniel Scheinert on the set of 'Everything Everywhere All at Once', Michelle Yeoh in 'Everything Everywhere All at Once', Ke Huy Quan in 'Everything Everywhere All at Once', Jamie Lee Curtis in 'Everything Everywhere All at Once'. Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever), Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin), Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All at Once), Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All at Once). Countdown to the Oscars with Variety here. 1 Hit, 37 TV Shows We Cant Wait to See This Fall, The WGA and AMPTP Are Meeting Again This Week. It was a less surprising win than youd think; SAG is a big fan of career wins in this category, especially when its among the first real recognition theyve gotten. And her late co-star Chadwick Boseman has never left her mind. 2023 Oscars: Best Supporting Actress Predictions - GoldDerby Christopher Rosen: It would be great, but I actually think theres a better chance that this choice leaves Williams without either nomination than with her in the supporting actress lineup. I dont think another production would do that.. Andy Verma", 2024 Emmy Awards Predictions and Discussion (Part 3), "DvirBA wrote: In addition to predictions, the section includes -- Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders in the race; Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly series featuring interviews with the top contenders in the awards race and an expert roundtable discussion with Variety's leading editors and columnists; Awards Circuit Predictions Video Series, a deep dive into specific categories, led by the leading pundits. Still, well-regarded veterans can often capitalize on decades of goodwill once their name appears on the Oscar ballot. Well, now were getting somewhere. So it feels like the most honest handshake I could make with Hollywood., Notable Wins: Film Independent Spirit Award (Breakthrough), Jamie Lee Curtis had all but resigned herself to the idea that she was not going to be nominated for an Oscar in her career. Green - moves up Red - moves down Blue - new entry . Is Jamie Lee Curtis like Ruby Dee? Welcome to Oscar Experts Typing, a weekly column in which Gold Derby editors and Experts Joyce Eng and Christopher Rosen discuss the Oscar race via Slack, of course. Maybe its recency bias since we just saw Banshees this week, but Im kind of thinking Condon could end up the winner now I found her revelatory in the film. 2023 Variety Media, LLC. Emmy predictions: Are we underestimating Fleishman is in Trouble for Best Movie/Limited Writing? Thats the surprising and beautiful part of this that Ive made friends through a competition.. Theyre anecdotal and merely bits of history we can look to for guidance. 2023 Gold Derby Media, LLC. 2023 Oscars Best Actress Predictions - Variety Walt Disney Co./Courtesy Everett Collection. Condon on the other hand is a firm dark horse candidate as the moral conscience of the very well-liked Banshees.. While 34 of the Best Actress winners were thirtysomething, this is true of just 27 of the supporting actress champs. Emmy predictions: Are we underestimating Fleishman is in Trouble for Best Movie/Limited Writing? We will update these predictions throughout awards season, so keep checking IndieWire for all our 2023 Oscar picks. 2023 Oscars: Best Actress Predictions - IndieWire BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | ACTOR | ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT. Indiewire. Welcome to Oscar Experts Typing, a weekly column in which Gold Derby editors and Experts Joyce Eng and Christopher Rosen discuss the Oscar race via Slack, of course. } Emmys: Supporting Actor (Limited) Could Ray Liotta Become the Sixth Posthumous Acting Winner for Black Bird?, Emmys: Supporting Actor (Comedy) Phil Dunster, Brett Goldstein and James Marsden Leading an Unpredictable Three-Horse Race, Congressman Joaquin Castro Nominates 27 Latino Films for National Film Registry: Frida, Maria Full of Grace, A Better Life and More, became the first Asian woman to win a SAG lead actress film award, This Is an Existential Threat: Will AI Really Eliminate Actors and Ruin Hollywood? Curtis is nominated for an Oscar for best supporting actress for her role in Everywhere All at Once. (AP Photo/Chris Pizzello), Stephanie Hsu poses for a portrait at the 95th Academy Awards Nominees Luncheon at the Beverly Hilton Hotel in Beverly Hills, Calif., on Feb. 13, 2023. Who will win at the 2023 Oscars? Here are our final predictions in all Which actors will win an Oscar in 2023? But, to circle back to our acting race flashback du jour, does Kerry Condon have this one almost by default? Queen Ramonda is a less iconic figure in a less iconic film, and while the role affords Bassett a couple of clip-worthy scenes, this bid ultimately reflects less whats on screen, and more the towns regard for the actress herself. Oscars 2023 Predictions: Who Will Win Best Picture, Actor and Actress? Rihanna and A$AP Rockys Latest Collaboration Is Here, 29 Plays and Musicals We Cant Wait to See This Fall. Stone and Weisz were both Oscar winners already with the former prevailing in lead for La La Land in 2017 and the latter taking home this award in 2006 for The Constant Gardener.. Oscar Experts slugfest: The Woman Kings box office reign and Tom Cruise in Best Actor? It came from a very raw place with zero expectations, only trying to tell the story as deeply and honestly as we can., She added: This movie, in so many ways, embodies what I love to do as an artist. Only two best picture winners have demonstrated this since 2009 taking home five or more statuettes. Im excited, Im grateful, Im nervous. 2022 category winner: Jessica Chastain, "The Eyes of Tammy Faye" (Searchlight Pictures). Weekly Commentary (Updated Aug 17, 2023): Becky Ann Baker as Dottie Lasso in "Ted Lasso" and Taraji P. Henson and Vanetta in . SAG notably opted for Hsus veteran co-nominee, Jamie Lee Nepo Baby Curtis, and if Angela Bassetts shes overdue narrative is vaporizing into the Oscar blogger-fueled fantasy it always was, no ones in a better position to occupy the vacuum. Other films endured nearly as long, but blockbusters like Top Gun: Maverick don't have the same heat in key branches (that film doesn't have any acting nominations or a directing nod, while Everything has four for each member of its principal cast as well as its filmmakers). This year's ceremony will take place on March 12, 2023 at 8 p.m. EST on ABC, with late-night talk show host Jimmy Kimmel serving as emcee for the third time. Notable Wins: Golden Globes, Critics Choice, Image Awards. Shortly after we chatted about the Oscars with our voices this week, it was revealed that Michelle Williams would campaign as a lead actress for The Fabelmans, throwing cold water onto those like me who proclaimed her a lock to win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars next year. 2024 Oscars: Best Film Editing Predictions, 2024 Oscars: Best Adapted Screenplay Predictions, 2023 Emmy Predictions: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series, How Lena Waithe Fell for Mary Tyler Moore. Colin Farrell (also a Globe winner, leading the cast of the acclaimed Best Picture contender The Banshees of Inisherin) seemed like he might make late surges, but BAFTA going for his film in key, surprise categories (Supporting Actress, Supporting Actor, Best British Film) and paying him dust indicates the race is between Butler and Fraser. Kerry Condons Siobhn occupies an important space in The Banshees of Inisherin, as a kind of voice of reason between the warring ex-friends Pdraic (Colin Farrell) and Colm (Brendan Gleeson). 1. cnx({ No. Coincidence? However, there arent many easy ways to hand it a trophy. 3. While the Oscars Best Picture race appears all sewn up barring some unprecedented surprise, Everything Everywhere All at Once will be the nights big winner most of the seasons acting categories remain thrillingly unpredictable. "The Whale" earned three Oscar nominations including Fraser, Best Supporting Actress for Hong Chau, and Best Makeup and Hairstyling for Adrien Morot, Judy Chin and Annemarie Bradley. Travis Scott ('Utopia') stays atop Billboard 200 for 3rd week thanks to vinyl sales, Bradley Cooper ('Maestro') could match Emma Thompson's Oscars record with wins for acting and writing, How 'The Afterparty' could boost Paul Walter Hauser's Emmy chances for 'Black Bird'. Swinton, she was the sole recognition for Michael Clayton, a highly respected film with nominations for Best Picture, Director, Original Screenplay, Score and two other acting nods going up against a SAG winner and veteran who was the only nomination for her film. Variety is a part of Penske Media Corporation. Gold Derby is a part of Penske Media Corporation. Her win over Bassettwho, everyone had just been reminded, did the thingat the BAFTAs was the first major blow to the latters chances among the televised awards. For the last eight years, beginning with Patricia Arquette in 2014s Boyhood, every Supporting Actress winner has been the only Oscar win from her film. Nina Hoss - TR (Focus Features) 4. 2023 Vox Media, LLC. Will Win: Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures)Could Win: Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)Should Win: Stephanie Hsu, Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)Should have been here: Dolly De Leon, Triangle of Sadness (Neon). Read on for a breakdown of the contenders in the years most up-in-the-air Oscar race. Download our free and easy app for Apple/iPhone devices or Android (Google Play) to compete against legions of other fans plus our experts and editors for best prediction accuracy scores. After his star-making turns in the Indiana Jones franchise and The Goonies, Ke Huy Quan largely disappeared from Hollywood for nearly four decades, but his roaring return has written itself into the industry's history book as one of the most inspiring comeback stories in recent memory. Extraction 2's Chris Hemsworth on his family, future, and fiery action sequel. The Awardist Oscars Oscars Predictions Oscar winner predictions, including the tight Actor, Actress, Supporting Actress categories On the latest episode of The Awardist podcast, EW. SEE Oscar Experts Typing: Breaking down the early state of the Best Actress race. Reality Stars Accuse Bravo of Depraved Mistreatment. I really like you predictions on most of the categ", "Butz wrote: Oscar winner predictions, including the tight Actor, Actress Photo: Searchlight Pictures. Also, which acting category is the most likely for Ted Lasso to win? DISCUSSAll the Oscar contenders with Hollywood insiders in our notorious forums. Shes not a fresh new face or a venerable veteran, but neither does she have the prestige track record of peers like Michelle Williams. Were officially halfway through the season, and the boatmance drama shows no signs of slowing down. Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin) Take a trip back to the Academy Awards ceremonies of the recent past with Gold DerbysOscars Playbackseries. *Sorry, there was a problem signing you up. With the Academy's increasingly international membership from countries around the world joining its ranks, we've seen the likes of commercially mighty celebrities with statistical power (Lady Gaga in House of Gucci, Jennifer Lopez in Hustlers, Angelina Jolie in A Mighty Heart) fail to catch on, so don't dismiss Kerry Condon's recent BAFTA win and Jamie Lee Curtis' SAG victory as flukes both will likely spoil Bassett's reign, seeing as Curtis gave a tearful acceptance speech days before final balloting opened, atop Everything Everywhere's history-making run as the most-awarded movie in SAG history. So lets look at the Best Supporting Actress lineup. The season so far: Wins at the Golden Globes and Critics Choice Awards, plus one instant-classic meme. Will Win: Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)Could Win: Cate Blanchett, Tr (Focus Features)Should Win: Michelle YeohShould have been here: Danielle Deadwyler, Till (Orion/United Artists Releasing). Does Anyone Know Who's Going to Win Best Supporting Actress? But, on-paper statistics are simply no match for the burning passion Hollywood has displayed for Yeoh this season. And most importantly, what Patricia Field outfit will Kim Cattrall wear? Although like Bassett, Hong Chau was nominated in the category despite her film The Whale (A24) not being nominated for Best Picture, the emotional drama directed by Darren Aronofsky has proven too polarizing for her to push through. Shes in the film for just over 12 minutes but she has the scenes. Ray Richmond: Bradley Cooper has a nose for controversy as Leonard Bernstein in Maestro, American Horror Story: Delicate teaser introduces Matt Czuchry (and lots of creepy-crawly spiders) [WATCH], 2023 News and Documentary Emmys: Barbara Kopple and Wolf Blitzer will receive Lifetime Achievement Awards, Frasier revival starring Kelsey Grammer to premiere October 12 on Paramount+, Oscars Playback: Revisiting the 2009 ceremony when Hugh Jackman was the host with the most and Kate Winslet finally won, Safety Last: Harold Lloyd classic turns 100 with special Academy Museum screening, Everything to know about Dancing with the Stars Season 32, The Bachelorette star Charity Lawson is heading to Dancing with the Stars.
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